Table Of Contents:

List of Figures xi

List of Tables xv
Preface xvii

A Framework for European Land Use Simulation 1(14)

John Stillwell

Henk Scholten

Introduction 1(1)

The conceptual framework 2(3)

Structure and content 5(10)
PART I: POLICY PERSPECTIVES, DRIVING FORCES AND DATA CONSIDERATIONS

The European Spatial Development Perspective: Process, Policies and Consensus 15(10)

Peter Ungar

Introduction 15(1)

The evolution of the European Spatial Development Perspective 15(3)

The need for co-operation on spatial development at the EU scale 18(1)

The ESDP action programme 18(2)

Co-operation in European spatial development: a matter of consent 20(2)

Conclusion 22(3)

European Spatial Planning: National and Regional Perspectives 25(12)

Hans ten Velden

John Stillwell

Introduction 25(1)

The need for European spatial planning 25(3)

The European Spatial Development Perspective 28(1)

Information and analysis imperative 29(1)

Impacts of the ESDP at national and regional levels 30(5)

Conclusion 35(2)

Agriculture, Forestry and Nature: Trends and Developments Across Europe 37(8)

Arnold Bregt

Kees de Zeeuw

Introduction 37(1)

Land use in Europe 37(1)

Trends in agriculture, forestry and nature 37(3)

Influence of trends on the spatial environment 40(1)

From trends to data and tools 41(2)

Conclusions 43(2)

The Projection of Population, Households, Housing and Residential Land Use 45(20)

John Stillwell

James Debenham

Introduction 45(1)

Population projections for EU regions 46(6)

National and sub-national population projections in the UK 52(4)

National and sub-national household projections 56(3)

Regional projections of housing and residential land requirements 59(2)

Conclusions 61(4)

The Land Market: A Spatial Economic Perspective 65(18)

Joost Buurman

Piet Rietveld

Henk Scholten

Introduction 65(1)

The land market 66(8)

The spatial land market 74(4)

Operational models 78(3)

Conclusions 81(2)

The Role of Remote Sensing Techniques for European Land Use Database Construction 83(18)

Henk Kramer

Sander Mucher

Introduction 83(1)

A selection of important satellite sensors 83(9)

Available European land cover databases 92(3)

Land use database construction 95(2)

Conclusions 97(4)

Towards a European Spatial Metadata Infrastructure to Facilitate Land Use Planning 101(14)

Joana Abreu

Henk Scholten

Introduction 101(1)

The requirements of a spatial data information infrastructure 102(1)

The problems to access geographic information in Europe 103(1)

Existing geographic information infrastructures 104(2)

Towards the European Spatial Metadata Infrastructure 106(2)

Providing direct access to the data via Web mapping 108(2)

Conclusions 110(5)
PART II: MODELLING ENVIRONMENTAL AND HUMAN SYSTEMS

Land Cover Information for European Environmental Modelling 115(12)

Jean-Paul Hettelingh

Maximilian Posch

Peter de Smet

Introduction 115(1)

Modelling the European environment 116(1)

The support of European acidification policies 117(1)

The computation of critical loads and levels 118(5)

Scientific collaboration for the mapping of critical loads and levels in Europe 123(1)

Conclusions and recommendations 124(3)

Forecasting Global Climatic Change Impacts on Mediterranean Agricultural Land Use in the Twenty First Century 127(16)

Stan Openshaw

Andy Turner

Background and context 127(1)

Building a Synoptic Prediction System 128(2)

Assembling the data 130(5)

Agricultural land use modelling 135(2)

Translating agricultural land use changes into land degradation terms 137(2)

Conclusions 139(4)

Demography, Economy and Urbanization: A Demo-Economic Regional Simulation Model 143(16)

Leo van Wissen

Corina Huisman

Introduction 143(1)

Structure of the model 143(2)

Demographic module 145(3)

Labour supply 148(1)

The economic module and labour demand 148(2)

Urban land use 150(1)

A number of illustrative outcomes of Decores 151(5)

Conclusions 156(3)

Interregional Migration and Land Use Pressure 159(14)

Beatrice Eiselt

Nicla Giglioli

Robert Peckham

Introduction 159(1)

Data and software 159(1)

Cluster analysis 160(3)

Migration modelling 163(2)

Forecasting and simulation 165(1)

Application to simulation of land use pressure 166(2)

Conclusions 168(5)
PART III: EVALUATION AND VISUALISATION METHODS

Towards a Sustainable Future of Cities in Europe: An Evaluation of Sustainable City Initiatives Using Multicriteria Decision Support Methods 173(20)

Adele Finco

Peter Nijkamp

Setting the scene 173(2)

Planning for urban sustainability 175(3)

Decision support methods for urban sustainability policy 178(3)

The case study area 181(1)

Multi-criteria analysis for the Local Plan of Cremona 182(3)

MCA results 185(4)

Conclusions 189(4)

A Methodology for the Analysis of Spatial Conflicts in Transport Policies: Overview and Applications 193(18)

Euro Beinat

Introduction 193(2)

Methodology framework 195(2)

Inside the methodology 197(6)

Applications 203(5)

Conclusions 208(3)

Virtual Reality and the Simulation of Europe's Land Use in the Twenty First Century 211(24)

Antonio Camara

Introduction 211(1)

Virtual reality methods and the visualisation of terrains 212(8)

Coupling simulation models to virtual environments 220(3)

Visualisation of Europe's land use simulation model 223(5)

Conclusions 228(7)
PART IV: THE DEVELOPMENT OF A EUROPEAN LAND USE SIMULATION SYSTEM

EuroScanner: A Simulation Model for Land Use Change in Europe 235(10)

Piet Rietveld

Henk Scholten

John Stillwell

Introduction 235(1)

Approaches to modelling land use 235(1)

System structure and model features 236(2)

Land use data, regional constraints, suitability maps and government policy interventions 238(1)

Mathematical formulation of the model 239(3)

Extensions to the doubly constrained land use model 242(1)

Conclusions 243(2)

A National Planning Application of EuroScanner in the Netherlands 245(12)

Kees Schotten

Camiel Heunks

Introduction 245(1)

Planning background and scenario development 245(2)

Simulation of residential areas 247(5)

Integrated land use map 252(1)

Environmental impact assessment 252(2)

Conclusions 254(3)

A Regional Planning Application of EuroScanner in Portugal 257(36)

Alfred Wagtendonk

Rui Pedro Juliao

Kees Schotten

Introduction 257(1)

Lisbon and the Tagus Valley 258(7)

Urban and regional plans 265(4)

Land use classification of Landsat images between 1984 and 1998 269(2)

Identification of driving forces 271(5)

Operationalisation of driving forces 276(1)

Statistical analysis land use changes between 1984 and 1998 277(5)

Simulations with EuroScanner 282(3)

Results of simulations 285(4)

Conclusions 289(4)
Subject Index 293